the wire rod price on Nov.12th
If you want strong steel market had long way to go in November
Since mid-October, the government in order to ensure a good environment during the APEC meeting, the implementation
of a strong environmental measures, so that the majority of steel production, limited production or even stop, until the
arrival of decreased market,goods less reluctant to sell the business mentality strengthened, coupled with steel force,
significantly raise prices,lower costs,driven by rising steel prices; finite natural seasonal demand, since the end of
October,according to data of construction steel, construction steel has been mixed, lack of upward momentum,
downstream Afterward,the business mentality tangled, and I believe that, in the case of steel price quite obvious,
is expected to remain short-term price correction operation.
Recent domestic construction steel market factors, mainly in the following areas:
A: production aspects, CISA latest data show that in late October the focus of average daily crude steel production
of steel prices continue to decline, the actual average daily production was 1.705 million tons, the output decline
has expanded,combined as a whole, is still yielding an indisputable fact; the other data show that the end of the
key steel enterprises in late October inventory of 14.143 million tons, compared with the previous ten days late fell
1.513 million tons, a decline of 9.66%, although the social stock has been declining, and then take into account
the needs of the amount of release slow,destocking pressure is still large.
II: steel mills, since mid-October, the regional leading steel prices over the main tune, where the east, south and
southwest China steel price increases are more frequent but much larger magnitude Pobai. Mills frequently raised,
the cost of supporting the shift ends, steel "gone", market outlook, business confidence has been firmer, but on
the other hand due to raise steel prices, steel profits rise, firms and more profitable, steel up yield has increased,
some initial shutdowns of mills are ready to resume production, in addition to a close with the APEC meeting,
Beijing, Tianjin and other regions mills will resume normal production, the contradiction between supply and
demand can be expected late still inhibit the steel city better.
Three: macro level, according to the NDRC official website announcement today, the NDRC approved a total
of seven railway construction projects with a total investment of 199.86 billion yuan. According to incomplete
statistics, since early October so far,since October 1 date, the Development and Reform Commission approved
the airport, railway project reached a total of 693.374 billion yuan, of which, in October month approved the
airport railway investment projects amounted to 493.514 billion yuan,intensive the extent and in the past year,
much higher than the amount approved in January, steady growth intentions clear, but these projects are now
difficult short-term gains, stimulus or limited.
In summary, the current entering November, the northern region has been the winter, some have snow, the
temperature is gradually decreased the southern region, outdoor started declining, the terminal needs or will
gradually shrink, while steel prices could finally win another one on the in this month, but the seasonally
weaker demand trend is becoming increasingly apparent, and the actual positive boost is limited, if you want
strong steel market over the November long way to go.
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